Investing Education
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MEDIA
Ausbiz – Too much AI, too little return?
Roger Montgomery
October 15, 2026
I joined Juliette Saly on Ausbiz to discuss the growing risks surrounding the artificial intelligence (AI) boom and whether the billions being invested in infrastructure can deliver sustainable returns. We explored the industry’s reliance on debt-funded hyperscalers and venture capital-backed startups, and how a slowdown in funding could trigger a domino effect across the sector. We also discussed the disappointing Firmus IPO, CoreWeave’s recent share price decline, and the risk of excess data centre capacity if demand fails to meet expectations.
Watch here: Too much Ai, too little return. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Economics, Global markets, Insightful Insights, Investing Education, Market commentary, Market Valuation, TV Appearances.
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Sovereign debt yields continue to climb – is a debt crisis on the cards?
David Buckland
October 12, 2026
In the past six years, French Government ten-year bond yield has jumped from negative 0.3 per cent to 4.9 per cent, the highest level in 24 years. Investors are starting to differentiate between each euro-denominated country with German and Dutch ten-year bonds yielding 3.5 per cent and 3.6 per cent, respectively. Meanwhile, Greek and Italian ten-year bonds yield 4.55 per cent and 4.65 per cent, respectively, indicating potential contagion as confidence appears to be in short supply. continue…
by David Buckland Posted in Economics, Editor's Pick, Feature Article, Global markets, Insightful Insights, Investing Education, Market commentary.
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Silver lining in bond market carnage
Roger Montgomery
October 8, 2026
For decades, the 60/40 Balanced Portfolio was zealously and even religiously adhered to. The fixed income component was the dependable anchor, providing a steady yield, protection against stock market volatility, while allowing investors to sleep soundly at night.
More recently, bond returns have given sleeping investors a rude awakening.
U.S. analyst Ben Carlson recently highlighted this shift, pointing out that modern bondholders have endured a catastrophe, describing the market as “…the most brutal bond market in modern finance history,” adding, “It’s no wonder bonds are the most hated asset class in the world.” continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Economics, Editor's Pick, Feature Article, Global markets, Insightful Insights, Investing Education, Market commentary.
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The runway for equities – are markets settling into a new pace?
Roger Montgomery
October 6, 2026
The narrative surrounding global equities is subtly shifting. Once dominated by momentum-driven optimism, especially for artificial intelligence (AI), today’s market discussions instead focus on structural frictions.
The most bullish equity strategist of note is U.S. researcher Edward Yardeni, whose Fabulous Earnings Momentum (FEMO) thesis has driven his estimate for the S&P500 to reach 8,400 – 10 per cent higher than where we are today. Originally, this target was slated for the end of 2026, but now Yardeni has moved it to the middle of next year.
He notes the recalibration isn’t a reassessment of FEMO, but an acknowledgement of macro headwinds that limit immediate price to earnings (P/E) multiple expansion. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Economics, Editor's Pick, Global markets, Insightful Insights, Investing Education, Market commentary, Popular.
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MEDIA
Over the Money Fence – What’s Changed for Your Money? Markets, Private Credit & the Budget
Roger Montgomery
September 28, 2026
This week, I am back with Nicola and Di for our series Over The Money Fence.
This series aims to help you take control of your finances with clarity and confidence.
In this episode, we go through the fallout from the federal budget and explain why, despite being sold as a win for young Australians, the changes to negative gearing have actually made it harder for first home buyers to get into the market. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Economics, Investing Education, Market commentary, Market Valuation, Podcast Channel, Property, Technology & Telecommunications.
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WHITEPAPER
THE PROPERTY RUG PULL
Discover how proposed changes to negative gearing, Capital Gains Tax and holiday home tax rules could reshape property investing, and why investors may consider private credit as property returns become less certain and tax advantages diminish.
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MEDIA
Ausbiz – The $40 trillion debt problem facing U.S. markets
Roger Montgomery
September 17, 2026
I joined Juliette Saly on Ausbiz to discuss rising U.S. bond yields and what higher interest rates could mean for markets. We also explored growing U.S. government debt, competition for capital from the artificial intelligence (AI) infrastructure boom, and the warning signs to watch across mortgages, highly leveraged companies and credit markets.
Watch here: The $40 trillion debt problem facing U.S. markets
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Economics, Editor's Pick, Insightful Insights, Investing Education, Market commentary, TV Appearances.
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Put it on the tab
Roger Montgomery
September 17, 2026
In recent months, the chart shown in Figure 1., has been doing the rounds, inspiring fear among some observers that a stock market crash is imminent. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Economics, Editor's Pick, Global markets, Insightful Insights, Investing Education, Market commentary, Market Valuation.
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How we invest in AI
Gary Rollo
September 15, 2026
In this video, I discuss why we see the build-out of AI in Australia as an investable opportunity, from the infrastructure supporting it to the businesses positioned to benefit. I also explain our approach to investing early, starting with smaller positions and increasing exposure as potential winners emerge.
by Gary Rollo Posted in Economics, Editor's Pick, Feature Article, Insightful Insights, Investing Education, Market commentary, Popular, Small Caps, Video Insights.
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MEDIA
The Australian – A new battle for cash has begun – and it could sink stocks
Roger Montgomery
September 14, 2026
In my recent article for The Australian, I explore the growing competition for capital between the U.S. government and the artificial intelligence (AI) boom. As government borrowing and AI infrastructure spending accelerate, the resulting pressure on bond yields could reshape the investment environment, with important implications for equity valuations and long-duration growth stocks.
Download the article here: A new battle for cash has begun – and it could sink stocksby Roger Montgomery Posted in Economics, Editor's Pick, In the Press, Insightful Insights, Investing Education, Market commentary, Popular, Technology & Telecommunications.
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Why MP1 is a high-conviction holding
Gary Rollo
September 14, 2026
In this video, I discuss why Megaport (ASX: MP1) has become one of our highest-conviction holdings, including its position in AI infrastructure, differentiated data centre strategy and potential to benefit from growing demand for AI inference.
Disclaimer: The Montgomery Small Companies Fund owns shares in MP1. This video was prepared 14 September 2026 with the information we have today, and our view may change. It does not constitute formal advice or professional investment advice. If you wish to trade MP1, you should seek financial advice. continue…by Gary Rollo Posted in Companies, Editor's Pick, Feature Article, Insightful Insights, Investing Education, Manufacturing, Market commentary, Market Valuation, Popular, Small Caps, Stocks We Like, Video Insights.
